Abstract
In recent decades, financial liberalization has been one of the most important strategies for Asian countries to promote growth. However, debate emerges following several financial crises on whether liberalizing financial markets and allowing for free access to international capital markets, would benefit or impede economic development. The objective of this study is to examine the impact of financial openness on select seventeen Asian economies and answer the three questions: 1. Is there any linkage between financial openness and economic growth for these seventeen Asian countries? 2. Does any of the financial openness pose positive or negative effects? 3. If no direct impact revealed, can financial openness still have growth effect under certain fundamental or institutional conditions? Our main findings are as follows: 1. By employing both de jure and de facto indicators of financial openness, our empirical results indicate that the de facto indicators are associated with growth of Asian economies but de jure indicator does not show statistically significant impact on growth across three methodologies. 2.Furthermore, these growth effects vary among the de facto indicators. According to our empirical results, out of the four de facto financial openness measurements, only one of them, foreign direct investment inflows, influences growth positively whereas three other measures, including foreign direct investment outflows, portfolio investment inflows and outflows exert negative impact on growth. In terms of the view that the growth effect of the financial openness depends on macroeconomic foundations or institutional conditions of an economy, our findings do not support this view due to the estimation results are not robust across five financial openness proxies.References
Abiad, A., Oomes, N., & Ueda, K. (2008). The quality effect: Does financial liberalization improves the allocation of capital?, Journal of Development Economics 87(2), 270-282.
Aizenman, N. (2009). Endogenous financial and trade ppenness, Review of Development Economics 13(2), 175-189.
Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1998). Dynamic Panel Data Estimating Using DPD98-A Guide for Users, Institute for Fiscal Studies, Mimeo.
Arellano, M., & Bover, O. (1995). Another Look At the Instrumental Variable Estimation of Error Components Models, Journal of Econometrics 68(1), 29-51.
Bhagwati, J. N. (1998). The Capital Myth: The Difference between Trade in Widgets and Dollars, Foreign Affairs, 77(3), 7.
Barro, R. & Jong-Wha Lee, J. W. (2011). A new data set of educational attainment in the World, 1950-2010, forthcoming, Journal of Development Economics.
Bekaert, G. (1995). Market Integration and Investment Barriers in Emerging Equity Markets?, World Bank Economic Review 9, 75-107.
Bekaert, G., Harvey, C. R., & Lundblad, C. (2005). Does financial liberalization spur growth?, Journal of Financial Economics, 77(1). 3-55.
Bekaert, G., Harvey, C. R., & Lundblad, C. (2011). Financial openness and productivity?, World Development, 99(1), 1-19.
Blundell, R., & Bond, S. (1998). Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models, Journal of Econometrics 87(1), 115-143.
Borensztein, E., Gregorio, J. D., & Lee, J.-W. (1998). How does foreign direct investment affect growth?, Journal of International Economics, 45, 115–35.
Boyd, J., & Smith, B. (1992). Intermediation and the Equilibrium Allocation of Investment Capital: Implication of Economic Development, Journal of Monetary Economics 30(3), 409-432.
Camdessus, M. (1998). The IMF's Role in Today's Globalized World, International Monetary Fund, Frankfurt, Germany.
Chari, A., & Henry, P.Y. (2004). Risk sharing and asset prices: Evidence from a natural experiment, Journal of Finance, 59(3), 1295-1324
Chinn, M. D., & Ito, H. (2008). A new measure of financial openness, Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis, 10(3), 309-322.
Chinn, M. D. & Ito, H. (2006). What matters for financial development? Capital controls, institutions, and interactions, Journal of Development Economics, 81(1), 163-192.
Cho, Y. J. (1988). The effect of financial liberalization on the efficiency of credit allocation: some evidence from Korea, Journal of Development Economics, 29(1), 101-110.
Chow, P. C., & Gates G. (eds) (2000), Weathering The Storm. Brookings Institution Press.
Cole, H. L. & Kehoe, T. J. (1996). A self-fulfilling model of Mexico’s 1994-1995 Debt Crisis, Journal of International Economics, 41(3-4), 309-330.
Devereux, M. B. & Smith, G. W. (1994). International Risk-Sharing and Economic Growth, International Economic Review, 35(3), 535-550.
Edison, H., Levine, R., Ricci, L., & Slok, T. (2002). International financial liberalization and economic growth, Review of International Economic, 9, 688-702.
Edison, H., & Warnock, F. (2003). A simple measure of the intensity of capital controls, Journal of Empirical Finance, 10, 81-104.
Edison, H., Klein, M., Ricci, L., & Slok, T. (2004). Capital account liberalization and economic performance: Survey and synthesis, IMF Staff Papers, 51(2), 220-256.
Grilli V., & Milesi-Ferretti, M. G. (1995). Economic Effects and Structural Determinants of Capital Controls, IMF Staff Papers, 42(3), 517-551.
Karcher, S., & Steinberg, D. (2013). Assessing the Causes of Capital Account Liberalization: How Measurement Matters, International Studies Quarterly, 57(1), 128-137.
Klein, M., & Olivei, G. (2008). Capital account liberalization, financial deepness and economic growth, Journal of International Money and Finance, 27(6), 861-875.
Klein, M., & Olivei, G. (1999). Capital Account Liberalization, Financial Depth, and Economic Growth, Working Papers, 99-6, Federal Reserve of Boston.
Kose, M., Prasad, E., Rogoff, K., & Wei, S. (2006). Financial Globalization: A Reappraisal, IMF Staff Papers, 06/189.
Lane, M.-F. (2007). The external wealth nations mark II: Revised and extended estimates of foreign assets and liabilities, 1970-2004, Journal of International Economics, 73, 223-250
McKinnon, R. I. (1973). Money and Capital in Economic Development. Oxford Press.
McKinnon, R. I., (1991). The Order of Economic Liberalization: Financial Control in the Transition to a Market Economy. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press
O’Donnell, B. (2001). Financial openness and economic performance, Dublin, Trinity College
Prasad, E., Rogoff, K., Wei, S., & Kose, M. (2003). Effects of financial globalisation on developing countries, Economic and Political Weekly, 4319-4330
Quinn, D. (1997). The correlates of change in international financial regulation, American Political Science Review 91, 531-551.
Quinn, D., & Toyoda, A. M. (2008). Does capital account liberalization lead to economic growth?, Review of Financial Studies, 21(3), 1403-1449.
Ranciere R., Tornell A., & Westermann F. (2008). Decomposing the effects of financial liberalization: Crises vs. growth, Journal of Banking & Finance, 30(12), 3331-3348.
Rodrik, D. (1998). Who Needs Capital-Account Convertibility, Harvard University.
Rodrik, D. (1999). Making openness work: The new global economy and the developing countries, Overseas Development Council, Washington, DC.
Schumkler, S. (2004). Financial Globalization: Gain and Pain for Developing Countries, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Economic Review, Second Quarter, 2004.
Shaw, E. S. (1973). Financial Deepening in Economic Development, Brooking Institute
Stiglitz, J. (2000). Capital Market Liberalization, Economic Growth, and Instability, World Development, 28(6), 1075-1086.
Schumkler, S. (2004). Financial globalization: Gain and Pain for developing countries, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Economic Review, Second Quarter.
Summers, L. (2000). International financial crises: Causes, prevention, and cures, American Economic Review, 90(2), 1-16.
Umutlu, M., Akdeniz, L. & Salih, A. A. (2009). The degree of financial liberalization and aggregated stock-return volatility in emerging markets, Journal of Banking & Finance, 509-521.
Wooldridge, J. M. (2002). Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge, Massachusetts, London. The MIT Press.