The Path-Dependence Bias in Approximating Local Price Levels by CPIs
PDF

Keywords

Spatial price index
Inflation
Divisia index
Nonhomothetic preferences
Demand system.

How to Cite

GLUSCHENKO, K. (2016). The Path-Dependence Bias in Approximating Local Price Levels by CPIs. Journal of Economics Library, 3(1), 69–76. https://doi.org/10.1453/jel.v3i1.667

Abstract

Abstract. Lacking data on price levels across locations, economists are forced to proxy them. One method is to extrapolate the price levels known for locations in some point in time to another point by multiplying the initial price levels by the local CPIs. With the use of simulation experiments, this paper demonstrates that such a method is inadequate, since the path dependence of CPI alone produces considerable biases distorting cross-location comparisons of price levels.

Keywords. Spatial price index, Inflation; Divisia index, Nonhomothetic preferences, Demand system.

JEL. C15, C43, E31, R19.
https://doi.org/10.1453/jel.v3i1.667
PDF

References

Chen, L.-L., & Devereux, J. (2003). What can US city price data tell us about purchasing power parity? Journal of International Money and Finance 22(2), 213–222. doi. 10.1016/S0261-5606(02)00102-X

Eurostat & OECD (2012). Eurostat-OECD Methodological Manual on Purchasing Power Parities. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union.

Faber, R. P., & Stockman, A. C. J. (2009). A short history of price level convergence in Europe. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 41(2–3), 461–477. doi. 10.1111/j.1538-4616.2009.00215.x

Gluschenko, K. (2006). Biases in cross-space comparisons through cross-time price indexes: the case of Russia. BOFIT Discussion Paper No. 9.

Hulten, C. R. (2008). Divisia index. In: Durlauf, S.N., & Blume, L.E. (Eds.), The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. 2nd ed. Palgrave Macmillan.

ILO, IMF, OECD, UNECE, Eurostat, & World Bank (2004). Consumer Price Index manual: Theory and practice. Geneva: International Labour Office.

Rogoff, K. (1996). The purchasing power parity puzzle. Journal of Economic Literature 34 (2), 647–668.

Samuelson, P.A., & Swamy, S. (1974). Invariant economic index numbers and canonical duality: survey and synthesis. American Economic Review 64 (4), 566–593.

Solanko, L. (2008). Unequal fortunes: a note on income convergence across Russian regions. Post-Communist Economies 20(3), 287–301. doi: 10.1080/14631370802281399

Creative Commons License
This article licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial license (4.0)

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.