Measuring the effects of structural reforms in Malta
PDF

Supplementary Files

Cover Page

Keywords

Structural reforms
Competition
DSGE models
Malta.

How to Cite

MICALLEF, B. (2020). Measuring the effects of structural reforms in Malta. Journal of Economics and Political Economy, 6(4), 344–367. https://doi.org/10.1453/jepe.v6i4.1964

Abstract

Abstract. Structural reforms are crucial to boost an economy’s long-term growth potential, enhance its resilienceand increase its flexibility to adjust to adverse shocks. Malta has implemented a number of reforms in recent years, both to its labour and product market, which could in part explain its stellar growth performance after the crisis. Furthermore, EU membership has facilitated the inflow of foreign labour that helped to address critical labour and skill shortages. This paper quantifies the macroeconomic effects of structural reforms in labour and product markets using EAGLE, a large scale multi-country DSGE model, calibrated for the Maltese economy, as a small and open economy in a monetary union. The results show that a 10 percentage point reduction in product and labour mark-ups raises GDP by more than 5% in the long-run. The implementation of the reforms in isolation is associated with adjustment costs but the joint implementation of reforms can, to a large extent, soften the transition costs associated with the reforms. The results are robust to varying levels of mark-ups and different parameterization of the model. A key driver behind this finding is the adjustment in the labour market. This calls for policies to further reduce skill mismatches and for incentives that attract and retain more people in the labour market.

Keywords. Structural reforms, Competition, DSGE models, Malta.

JEL. C53, E27, F41, F47.
https://doi.org/10.1453/jepe.v6i4.1964
PDF

References

Allard, C., & Everaert, L. (2010). Lifting Euro Area growth: Priorities for structural reforms and governance, IMF Staff Position Note, No.SPN/10/19. [Retrieved from].

Almeida, V., Castro, G., & Felix, R. (2008). Improving competition in the non-tradable goods and labour markets: The Portuguese case, Banco de Portugal Working Paper, No.16. [Retrieved from].

Alves, N., Correia, I., Gomes, S., & Sousa, J. (2009). An insider's view on the Euro Area: Dynamics, heterogeneity and policy, in the Portuguese economy in the context of economic, financial and monetary integration, Economics and Research Department, Banco de Portugal, 1-64.

Andres, J., Arce, O., & Thomas, C. (2017). Structural reforms in a debt overhang, Journal of Monetary Economics, 88, 15-34. doi. 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2017.05.004

Attard, S. (2019). The evolution of Malta’s tourism sector, Xjenza, 7(1), 37-48. doi. 10.7423/XJENZA.2019.1.04

Bayoumi, T., Laxton, D., & Pesenti, P. (2004), Benefits and spillovers of greater competition in Europe: A macroeconomic assessment, ECB Working Paper, No.341. [Retrieved from].

Blanchard, O., & Giavazzi, F. (2003). The macroeconomic effects of regulation and deregulation in goods and labour markets, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 118(3), 879-909. doi. 10.1162/00335530360698450

Borg, M. (2009). Measuring market competition in the EU: The mark-up approach, Bank of Valletta Review, No.39, Spring. [Retrieved from].

Bouis, R., & Duval, R. (2011). Raining potential growth after the crisis: A quantitative assessment of the potential gains from various structural reforms in the OECD area and beyond, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No.835. [Retrieved from].

Brzoza-Brzezina, M., Jacquinot, P., & Kolasa, M. (2010). Can we prevent boom-bust cycles during Euro area accession?, ECB Working Paper, No.1280. [Retrieved from].

Castro, G. (2006). Consumption, disposable income and liquidity constraints, Economic Bulletin, Banco de Portugal. [Retrieved from].

Central Bank of Malta, (2011). Wage dynamics report, report available from CBM website. [Retrieved from].

Christoffel, K., Coenen, G., & Warne, A. (2008). The new area wide model of the Euro area: a Micro founded open economy model for forecasting and policy analysis, ECB Working Paper, No.599. [Retrieved from].

Coenen, G., McAdam, P., & Straub, R. (2007). Tax reform and labour market performance in the Euro area: A simulation-based analysis using the new area-wide model, ECB Working Paper, No.747. [Retrieved from].

ECB, (2011). Structural features of distributive trades and their impact on price in the Euro area, ECB Structural Issues Report. No.128. [Retrieved from].

ECB, (2012). Competitiveness and external imbalances within the Euro area, ECB Occasional Paper, No.139. [Retrieved from].

Everaert, L., & Schule, W. (2008). Why it pays to synchronize structural reforms in the Euro area across markets and countries, IMF Staff Papers, (55)2, 356-366. [Retrieved from].

Forni, L., Gerali, A., & Pisani, M. (2010). Macroeconomic effects of greater competition in the services: The case of Italy, Macroeconomics Dynamics, 14(5), 677-708. doi. 10.1017/S1365100509990800

Gali, J. (1999). Technology, employment and the business cycle: Do technology shocks explain aggregate fluctuations?, American Economic Review, 89(1), 249-271. doi. 10.1257/aer.89.1.249

Gali, J. (2008). Monetary Policy, Inflation and the Business Cycle: An Introduction to the New Keynesian Framework, Princeton University Press.

Gomes, S., Jacquinot, P., Mestre, R., & Sousa, J. (2010). Global policy at the zero lower bound in a large-scale DSGE model, ECB Working Paper, No.1254. [Retrieved from].

Gomes, S., Jacquinot, P., & Pisani, M. (2012). The EAGLE: A model for policy analysis of macroeconomic interdependence in the Euro area, Economic Modelling, 29(5), 1686-1714. doi. 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.04.002

Gomes, S., Jacquinot, P., Mohr, M., & Pisani, M. (2011). Structural reforms and macroeconomic performance in the Euro area countries: A model-based assessment, ECB Working Paper, No.1323. [Retrieved from].

Grech, A.G. (2015). Structural changes in the Maltese economy, Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences, 6(5), 423-438. doi. 10.5901/mjss.2015.v6n5p423

Grech, A.G. (2017). Did Malta’s accession to the EU raise its potential growth? A focus on the foreign workforce, Journal of Economic Integration, 32(4), 873-890. doi. 10.11130/jei.2017.32.4.873

Grech, A.G., & Micallef, B. (2015). Assessing the supply side of the Maltese economy using a production function approach, Xjenza, 3(1), 57-63.

Grech, A.G., Micallef, B., Zerafa, S., & Gauci, T. (2018). The Central Bank of Malta’s First Fifty Years: A Solid Foundation for the Future, Central Bank of Malta publication.

IMF (2016), Time for a supply-side boost? Macroeconomic effects of labour and product market reforms in advanced economies, World Economic Outlook, Chapter 3, April 2016. [Retrieved from].

Jean, S., & Nicoletti, G. (2002). Product market regulation and wage premia in Europe and North America: An empirical investigation, OECD Working Paper, No.318. doi. 10.1787/18151973

Kilponen, J., Pisani, M., Schmidt, S., Corbo, V., Hledik, T., Hollmayr, J., Hurtado, S., Julio, P., Kulikov, D., Lemoine, M., Lozej, M., Lundvall, H., Maria, J.R., Micallef, B., Papageorgiou, D., Rysanek, J., Sideris, D., Thomas, C., & Walque, G. (2019), Comparing fiscal consolidation multipliers across models in Europe, International Journal of Central Banking, 15(3), 285-320.

Kolasa, M. (2010). Real convergence and its illusions, ECB Working Paper, No.1231. [Retrieved from].

Lombardo, G., & Ravenna, F. (2010). Openess and optimal monetary policy, ECB Working Paper, No.1279. [Retrieved from].

Micallef, B. (2018). Estimating the impact of structural reforms to increase the female participation rate in Malta, International Journal of Social Science Studies, 6(8), 73-84. doi. 10.11114/ijsss.v6i8.3495

Micallef, B. (2017a). Empirical estimates of Okun’s law in Malta, Applied Economics and Finance, 4(1), 138-148. doi. 10.11114/aef.v4il.1930

Micallef, B. (2017b). A sectoral supply-side model to assess the impact of labour market reforms in Malta, International Journal of Economics and Finance, 9(4), 105-118. doi. 10.5539/ijef.v9n4p105

Micallef, B., & Caruana, K. (2015). Results of the 2014 wage dynamics network for Malta, publication available from the ECB WDN webpage. [Retrieved from].

Micallef, B., & Ellul, R. (2017). Medium term estimates of potential output growth in Malta, published in Central Bank of Malta publication entitled Challenges and opportunities of sustainable economic growth: the case of Malta, edited by Aaron G. Grech and Sandra Zerafa, (pp.15-28).

Rapa, N. (2017). The macroeconomic effects of efficiency gains in electricity production in Malta, Central Bank of Malta Policy Note, August 2017. [Retrieved from].

Smets, F., & Wouters, R. (2003). An estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for the Euro area, Journal of European Economic Association,1(5), 1123-1175. doi. 10.1162/154247603770383415

Creative Commons License
This article licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial license (4.0)

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.