Abstract
Abstract. This paper aims to analyse the Moroccan tax potential compared to a sample of countries (panel), relying on the tax effort concept, wich allows isolating the part of the government public levying. It is an international study, using a panel data (25 countries-26 years). The result of econometrics estimations shows the positive effect of the GDP per capita, the openness degree of the economy, the monetization degree and the part of industrial Added Value on the public potential while the part of agricultural Added Value had a negative impact. Analyzing the tax effort, we find that Morocco had a negative effort between 1990 and 2004. But, since 2005, the policies pursued after the reform helped reverse the trend to achieve a positive effort. It means that Morocco exploits all his fiscal resources from the standard of the sample.
Keywords. Tax burden, Tax potential, Tax effort, Structural factors, Panel.
JEL. E62, G28, H21, C50.
References
Alfirman, L. (2003). Estimating Stochastic Frontier Tax Potential: Can Indonesian Local Governments Increase Tax Revenues Under Decentralization? Centre for Economic Analysis, Working Paper No.03-19. [Retrieved from].
Ba, A & Diagne, Y.S. (2016). Evaluation du Potentiel fiscal du Sénégal. Document d’Etude No.34, Direction de la Prévision et des Etudes Economiques-Ministère de l’Economie et des Finances et du Plan Sénégalaise. [Retrieved from].
Beleau, A. (2013). Théorie de la taxation optimale et politique de stabilisation: une incompatibilité théorique? Document de travail du Centre d’Economie de la Sorbone. [Retrieved from].
Bird, R.M., Vasquez, J.M. & Torgler, B. (2014). Societal institutions and tax effort in developing countries. Annals of Economics and Finance, 15(1), 185-230.
Brun, J.F., Chambas, G., & Combes, J.L. (1998). La politique fiscale agit-elle sur la croissance? Revue d’Economie du Développement, 115-125.
Brun, J.F., Chambas, G., Combes, J.L., Dullecco, P., Gastambide, A., Guerineau, S., Guillaumont, S., Rota-Graziosi, G. (2006). Evaluation de l’espace budgétaire des pays en développement. Document conceptuel rédigé à la demande du PNUD (CERDI).
Brun, J.F., Chambas, G., & Combes, J.L. (2006). Recettes publiques des pays en développement: méthodes d’évaluations. (CERDI), STATECO, No.100. [Retrieved from].
Brun, J.F., Chambas, G. & Graziosi, G.R. (2007). La mobilisation des ressources propres locales en Afrique. CERDI, article communiqué au Forum, Décentralisation et gouvernance locale, des Nations Unis, Vienne 27-29.
Brun, J.F., Chambas, G. & Guerineau, S. (2007). Aide et mobilisation fiscale dans les pays en développement. AFD Jumbo, Rapport thématique-Département de la Recherche 21.
Brun, J.F., & Chambas, G. (2010). Evaluation du potentiel de recettes publiques. Banque Africaine du développement. [Retrieved from].
Davoodi, H.R., & Grigirian, D.A. (2007) Tax Potential vs. Tax Effort: A Cross-Country Analysis of Armenia’s Stubbornly Low Tax Collection. International Monetary Fund, Working Paper No.07/106. [Retrieved from].
Fenochietto, R., & Pessino, C. (2013). Understanding Countries’ Tax Effort. International Monetary Fund, Working Paper, No.13/244. [Retrieved from].
Gupta, A.S. (2007). Determinants of tax Revenue Efforts in Developing Countries. International Monetary Fund, Working Paper, No.07/184. [Retrieved from].
Keho, Y. (2009). Détermination d’un taux de pression fiscale optimal en Côte d’Ivoire. Bulletin de Politique Economique et Développement No.04/2009 de la CAPEC. [Retrieved from].
Koleva, K. (2005). A la recherche de l’Administration fiscale optimale: l’approche par les coûts d’efficiences. Cahier de la Maison des Sciences Economiques. [Retrieved from].
Langford, B., & Ohlenburg, T. (2015). Tax revenue potential and effort: an empirical investigation. International Growth Center, Working Paper, No.3. [Retrieved from].
Ndiye, M.B.O., & Korsu, R.D. (2011) Tax effort in ECOWAS countries, West African Monetary Agency (WAMA). [Retrieved from].
Pessino, C., & Fenochietto. Xxx. (2010) Determining countries’ tax effort. Hacienda Publica Espanola/Revista de Economia Publica, 195, 61-68.
Senou, B.M., (2014). Un essai d’analyse du potentiel fiscal du Bénin. Revue d’Economie Théorique et Appliquée, 4(2), 181-202.
Simula, L. (2011). Fiscalité Optimale: de la théorie à la pratique. Les Cahiers, le cercle des économistes, PUF, Ed. Descartes & Cie.
Stotsky, J.G., & Woldmariam, A. (1997). Tax Effort in Sub-Saharan Africa. International Monetary Fund, Working Paper, No.97/107. [Retrieved from].